home › event - long bets


Long Bets
PARC Forum

25 April 2002
George E. Pake Auditorium at PARC

about PARC forum


Predictions abound these days -- approaching blizzard intensity -- but the quality of our long-term thinking seems not to be increasing accordingly. Suppose we could: make predictions accountable; make the accountability competitive and fun; and make the whole process pay for itself? It's being attempted by The Long Now Foundation with a spinoff called Long Bets. The rules are: minimum bet is $1,000; minimum period is 2 years; odds are always even, and all bets have a win/lose outcome; bets must be societally or scientifically important; each bettor must name a charity to receive potential winnings and write a detailed argument in support of the bet. The Long Bets Foundation will grow the stakes over the term of the bet (using half the growth to support the process) and publicize the eventual outcome, then raising the question in public, "What can be learned from this bet." Play at http://www.longbets.org/.


Stewart Brand is co-founder of: All Species Foundation, Long Bets Foundation, The Long Now Foundation, Global Business Network, The WELL, Hackers' Conference, New Games Tournament, Whole Earth Catalog. He is author of: THE CLOCK OF THE LONG NOW; HOW BUILDINGS LEARN; THE MEDIA LAB; TWO CYBERNETIC FRONTIERS.


upcoming events   view all 

Automated Data Integration
Eric Huang, Author, Saigopal Nelaturi
27 October 2014
Conferences & Talks  

Global Competitiveness: The Role of Innovation and Productivity
Stephen Hoover, CEO, PARC
27 October 2014 | Toronto, Canada
Conferences & Talks  

The Internet of Everything
Stephen Hoover, CEO, PARC
28 October 2014 | Toronto, Canada
Conferences & Talks  

Open Forum: Cities and the Digital Frontier
Mike Steep
30 October 2014
George E. Pake Auditorium, PARC | Palo Alto, CA

Churchill Club